22 December 2005

It's pickin' time

Ok, the Mormons are going to Vegas to play the Hippie Bears. Therefore, the first bowl game anybody might actually care about comes on tonight so it's time to make your bowl season picks. I spy 26 games so here are the rules:

Pick 5 games against the spread. We won't worry about over/unders this time. Pushes not worth anything (making them equivalent to an incorrect pick for our purposes). Each correct pick is worth ...wait for it... one correct pick.

Pick a final score on one BCS Bowl (that is not included in your other 5 games). I wasn't too fond of how "closest score" turned out last time so this time I'll be more specific. The person with the closest to actual winner's score gets credit for one correct pick. The person with the closest actual loser's score gets credit for one correct pick. The person with the closest point spread gets credit for one correct pick. Finally, the person with the closest total points scored gets credit for one correct pick. That makes the final score prediction worth a potential 4 picks. If more than one person tie for a particular category, they split the credit. (Ex. If Jerz and Pat tie for closest to winner's score, each get .5)

The person with the highest score wins. A tie will be settled by knife fight (or maybe we'll tone it down to broken bottles or I might just allow for a tie).

You can make picks as late as you want provided you don't pick from a game that has kicked off. (I figure this article will stay towards the top since we probably won't be putting too many stories up this time of year.)

I'll go over the picks at the end of the bowl season and determine a winner. The winner will receive four sentences of praise. If there's a tie, the winners will have to split the praise.

I'll post my picks soon (don't have time right now). I put a new link up for the lines since the old one only goes out a week at a time. Feel free to use any line you want as long as you point out which line you are using (and it is from a legitimate sportsbook).

13 Comments:

At 3:52 PM, Blogger Patrick Armstrong said...

In order of appearance:

Peachy Keen Bowl

Line is Miami - 7, but LSU wouldn't have lost to Georgia Tech. Bayou Bengals make Chikin' Bizkits out of the 'Canes, and dip 'em in bbq sauce along the way. Canes 24, Tigers 31

Snuggly Soft Texas Bowl

Line is Texas Tech - 3.5, but they played three Division 1-AA opponents this year to get their record. Tide Rolls because the Plains Raiders haven't ever seen a real defense. Bama 21, TT 20

Steaks are Tasty But This Matchup is Gettin' Old Bowl

Homegators -1.5. Right. Iowa's late field goal makes them the only team in the Big 10 to have a winning record against the SEC. Iowa 30, Swamp Monsters 28

High Plains Bowl

Acorns' defense is getting 4 points agaisnt Charlie Wies' brain. I just can't pick against the Wiesel after watching the Irish play USC. Irish 35, Ohio State 33.

Social Security Bowl

Penn State - 9? I thought we all saw that Florida State is only just one quarter away from redemption. Free Shoes doesn't win, but their defense keeps it close. Lions 21, Native Americans 17

(And my official BCS pick)

Western Conferences Championship

USC -8 vs Texas? I hate to say it. Oh I hate it so much. Neither team would be here if they played in the ACC, SEC or Big Ten. And I so want Texas to stomp the tanned ones.

But I just don't see it happenin'...

Trojans de-horn the steers in style, and cap off their Asterisk Three Peat. 55-42

 
At 4:44 PM, Blogger Dante said...

Ok, so I'm finally back in town and ready to do some picking.

1. Texas +7.5.
I really wanted to use this game as my final score prediction, but it's just really hard to gauge what they'll score. Texas is going to benefit from everyone singing USC's praises just like USC benefited from everyone singing Oklahoma's praises last year. I get the idea that USC is starting to see themselves as a great team and that's dangerous. Texas scrapes away a victory here. If not, they'll be close enough that I'll cry myself all the way to the bank.

2. Auburn -11.
Once again Wisconsin is going off to play an SEC team that's just better than they are. If Auburn can put over 20 on Georgia's defense, they'll cover 11 against Wisconsin.

3. TCU -3.
Iowa State has a nasty habit of honking big games. TCU thinks they are hot but they tend to forget they lost to SMU. In the end, honkers tend to lose to chest-thumpers. Look for the Big 12 to lose this one.

4. Oregon -3.5
Oregon is going to put a world of BCS-less hurt on Oklahoma. They think by doing that, pollsters will take them more seriously next year.

5. Ohio State -4.5
Yeah, I know USC almost lost to Notre Dame but when it comes down to it, I'm more afraid of Ohio State. Pretend you're circa-1990 Florida State so you're looking for the most pathetic schedule for next year. Now let's pretend that the school for blind, the old folks home, and Duke don't have any spots left in their schedule so you're stuck scheduling either the 2005 Ohio State team or 2005 Notre Dame. If I were a fraidy cat athletic director looking at quanity over quality, I'd schedule 2005 Notre Dame. But first I'd see if they let me schedule the 2005 Folrida team twice.


Final Score:
Georgia in it's long history has done one thing spectacularly well. Georgia has the innate ability to take a team that thinks it's hot stuff and put them firmly back in their place. Georgia beats WV and it's not going to be pretty. Georgia doesn't lose this sort of game.
GA 35 WV 17

 
At 11:43 AM, Blogger S.A.W.B. said...

In order of appearance...

Ducks and covers - Oregon goes 10-1, and what do they get for their troubles? A 7-4 Oklahoma team. Oregon is giving a fieldgoal. They'll cover that and then some.

Nerds and Plastic Bears. Nerds are getting 2.5 points from the recently destroyed Plastic Bears of the Greater Compton Area. Nerds continue Plastic Bear tears.

Shreveport, USA - Cocks giving 4 to the cats.
You're kidding me, right? South Cackalackky going to it's first bowl game in years, playing a miserable Mizzou team? Granted, Shreveport isn't Steve Spoo-ray's usual bowl destination, but South Carolina destroys Mizzou, and easily covers the 4.

Why the hell aren't we playing somewhere warm The Red Raiders of Texas Tech are being generous this Christmas season, and are giving the Crimson Tide of Alabama 3.5 points. They're going to give them some more, too. Bama, like a certain Armstrong kin, can't score, and the defense will wear down over the course of the game. Take the Playstation offense.

It appears you can, in fact, spell Citrus without UT...Auburn is giving a massive 10.5 points to the steenking badgers. There's a reason they're giving 10.5. That's because Wisconsin sucks cheese, and Auburn is one of the best teams in the nation not playing in the BCS. Tigers eat cheese.

Sugar, so sweet I could fill this with superlatives, and witty remarks, but i'm just flat tapped out on em. UGA gets to play what amounts to a home bowl game, like Miami likes to do every year. WV shows up, scores a little, but UGA will end victorious, in much the same fashion they dismantled a highly-touted LSU squad in the SEC Championship. Final tally:
Georgia - 34 WVU - 10.

 
At 11:44 AM, Blogger S.A.W.B. said...

Oh, and while it's not an official pick of mine, Gimmie the 'Horns and the points. I'd also lay some scratch on the 'Horns upsetting the rubbers...

 
At 4:40 PM, Blogger Dante said...

While we're talking unofficial, I put some green on a bet against the Gators. A big Florida fan thought they were going to mop the floor with the Iowa Trapper Johns. He spotted me 7 and I couldn't pass that up.

 
At 11:57 PM, Blogger S.A.W.B. said...

I'd like to thank Brady Leaf for living up to the Leaf family name tonight...

 
At 10:55 AM, Blogger Dante said...

UPDATE:

So here's how things are shaking out so far. I'm doing this early so you can correct me if I made a mistake. (As of Tuesday).

Pat:
Tigers +7: +1 (Good call on the upset.)
Bama +3.5: +1 (Good call on the upset.)
Iowa +1.5: 0
ND -4: 0
USC -8: ?
Penn State 21 FSU 17:
Winner's score: ?
Loser's score: ?
Spread: ?
Total points: ?

SAWB:
Oregon -3: 0
NW +2.5: 0 (I'm assuming "Plastic Bears" means Bruins.)
The other USC -4: 0 (Maybe if the game ended in the 2nd quarter.)
TT -3.5: 0 (In the best bowl game I've seen so fat this year.)
Aub -10.5: 0 (Who saw that coming? Not me.)
UGA 34 WV 10 (Acutal UGA 35 WV 38):
Winner's score: 28 points off
Loser's score: 1 point off
Spread: 21 points off
Total points: 29 points off

Dante:
Texas +7.5: ?
Auburn -11: 0
TCU -3: 0 (Stupid push. I should've waited. The line eventually dropped to 2.5.)
Oregon -3.5: 0
Ohio State -4.5: +1
UGA 35 WV 17 (Acutal UGA 35 WV 38):
Winner's score: 21 points off
Loser's score: Nailed it
Spread: 15 points off
Total points: 21 points off

So as it stands, Pat is up by 1 over both Dante and SAWB. SAWB is eliminated since SAWB's games are completed, Dante is closer on all of the final score prediction pics, and Pat has a lead over SAWB. We'll know tomorrow if Pat gets closer than Dante or SAWB on any of the categories (except for loser's score, which will be a tie at best).

 
At 10:56 AM, Blogger Dante said...

CORRECTION:
Pat is up by 2 over SAWB and 1 over Dante.

 
At 10:07 AM, Blogger Dante said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

 
At 10:11 AM, Blogger Dante said...

Wednesday Morning Update (second try):

So here's how things are shaking out so far. I'm doing this early so you can correct me if I made a mistake. (As of Tuesday).

Pat:
Tigers +7: +1 (Good call on the upset.)
Bama +3.5: +1 (Good call on the upset.)
Iowa +1.5: 0
ND -4: 0
USC -8: ?
Penn State 21 FSU 17 (Penn State 25 FSU 23):
Winner's score: 4 points off (+1)
Loser's score: 6 points off
Spread: 4 points off (+1)
Total points: 10 points off (+1)

SAWB:
Oregon -3: 0
NW +2.5: 0 (I'm assuming "Plastic Bears" means Bruins.)
The other USC -4: 0 (Maybe if the game ended in the 2nd quarter.)
TT -3.5: 0 (In the best bowl game I've seen so fat this year.)
Aub -10.5: 0 (Who saw that coming? Not me.)
UGA 34 WV 10 (Acutal UGA 35 WV 38):
Winner's score: 28 points off
Loser's score: 1 point off
Spread: 21 points off
Total points: 29 points off

Dante:
Texas +7.5: ?
Auburn -11: 0
TCU -3: 0 (Stupid push. I should've waited. The line eventually dropped to 2.5.)
Oregon -3.5: 0
Ohio State -4.5: +1
UGA 35 WV 17 (Acutal UGA 35 WV 38):
Winner's score: 21 points off
Loser's score: Nailed it (+1)
Spread: 15 points off
Total points: 21 points off

So as it stands, Pat is has it locked up. He has credit for a whopping 5 correct picks. Dante has credit for 2 correct picks. SAWB has no correct picks.

Since Dante took Texas and Pat took USC, Dante can gain 1 correct pick (which still won't close the gap). SAWB is stuck at 0, but to be fair there were a lot of upsets this season.

 
At 10:19 AM, Blogger S.A.W.B. said...

Yeah, i just had to pick all the miracle comeback, fantastic upset wins...bastards...

 
At 10:33 AM, Blogger Dante said...

What's funny is that I was originally going to give a bonus credit for any exact number in the final score scoring and Pat still would've beaten me. I decided not to give the bonus because I didn't want the final score prediction to have the potential to outweigh the other 5 picks, even if such a thing were unlikely.

 
At 8:26 AM, Blogger Dante said...

Final Scores:

So here it is. All the games are over now.

Pat:
Tigers +7: +1 (Good call on the upset.)
Bama +3.5: +1 (Good call on the upset.)
Iowa +1.5: 0
ND -4: 0
USC -8: 0
Penn State 21 FSU 17 (Penn State 25 FSU 23):
Winner's score: 4 points off (+1)
Loser's score: 6 points off
Spread: 4 points off (+1)
Total points: 10 points off (+1)

SAWB:
Oregon -3: 0
NW +2.5: 0 (I'm assuming "Plastic Bears" means Bruins.)
The other USC -4: 0 (Maybe if the game ended in the 2nd quarter.)
TT -3.5: 0 (In the best bowl game I've seen so fat this year.)
Aub -10.5: 0 (Who saw that coming? Not me.)
UGA 34 WV 10 (Acutal UGA 35 WV 38):
Winner's score: 28 points off
Loser's score: 1 point off
Spread: 21 points off
Total points: 29 points off

Dante:
Texas +7.5: +1 (Who's the National Champion?)
Auburn -11: 0
TCU -3: 0 (Stupid push. I should've waited. The line eventually dropped to 2.5.)
Oregon -3.5: 0
Ohio State -4.5: +1
UGA 35 WV 17 (Acutal UGA 35 WV 38):
Winner's score: 21 points off
Loser's score: Nailed it (+1)
Spread: 15 points off
Total points: 21 points off

Pat: 5 picks
Dante: 3 picks
SAWB: 0 picks

So here's the parise:
So while SAWB was getting beat up by the Upset Monster and Dante was too busy singing the praises of our current National Champion to see what else is going on, Pat kept his nose to the grindstone and cranked out some good predictions. Pat knows his upsets (especially from the SEC) and knew Florida State wouldn't be the pushover a lot of people thought they were going to be. In the games Pat was wrong on, he wasn't wrong by a large margin. The furthest his predictions really strayed was in the blowout LSU game to Miami but I don't think anyone saw that coming and he did pick the line properly which is what really matters.

 

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